IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global estimates for the prevalence of diabetes for 2015 and 2040
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Diabetes mellitus describes a group of metabolic disorders characterised by increased blood glucose concentration. People living with diabetes have a higher risk of morbidity and mortality than the general population. The global prevalence of diabetes in adults has been increasing over recent decades. In 1964, it was estimated that 30 million people had diabetes . Less than 40 years later, the WHO estimated that there were 171 million people living with diabetes . The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) estimated the global prevalence to be 151 million in 2000 , 194 million in 2003 , 246 million in 2006 , 285 million in 2009 , 366 million in 2011 , and 382 million in 2013 . Each estimate was based on the latest data available. The IDF Atlas methodology was substantially updated in 2011  to incorporate an analytic hierarchy process that formalised the methods to prioritise the highest quality data from available sources.
The dramatic increase in diabetes has occurred in all countries, and in rural as well as urban areas. Accurate global, regional, and country-level estimates and projections of diabetes prevalence are necessary for prevention and treatment strategies to be planned and monitored, and to assess progress towards reaching the targets set by the Global Action Plan for Non-Communicable Diseases and the Sustainable Development Goals .
This paper provides estimates of the worldwide and regional impact of diabetes for 2015 and 2040, based on the most recent and highest quality epidemiological Continue reading